07-028/4 - Predicting the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Incorporating Parameter Uncertainty, Model Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Information
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AuthorsMichiel D. de Pooter, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam; Francesco Ravazzolo, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam; Dick van Dijk, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam
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Publication dateMarch 9, 2007
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KeywordsTerm structure of interest rates; Nelson-Siegel model; Affine term structure model; forecast combination; Bayesian analysis
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JELC5; C11; C32; E43; E47; F47